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On Heroes And Villains...

1/16/2019

1 Comment

 
And recognizing the difference between them.  It is often said that art is in the eye of the beholder, and from that we can discern that literature is in the mind of the reader.

What makes a hero?

A person who is admired or idealized for courage, outstanding achievements, or noble qualities?

A person of superhuman qualities and often semidivine origin, in particular one of those whose exploits and dealings with the gods are the subject of partisan political legends?

The chief male character in a book, play, or movie, who is typically identified with good qualities, and with whom the reader is expected to sympathize?

The chief male character in this upcoming book is no hero to thousands of Midwesterners.  In fact, I don't think any of them would spend a dollar, much less 27 of them, to read Michael Skelly's biography.  Besides, they all know how the story ends.  Clean Line Energy Partners is just about as dead as Michael Skelly's crazy idea to build more than 2,000 miles of high voltage transmission across thousands of privately-owned family farms in 8 states.

Clean Line no longer has any employees.  It no longer has any projects.  Two have been scrapped.  Two have been sold.  One is for sale.  There still aren't enough customers to make any of them economic.  It was a dumb idea and it's gone the way of other dumb ideas... and it took nearly $200M along with it.

The only thing I can think when I read "About the Book" is... what the hell?  The author wouldn't love this guy if it was his grandma's farmhouse in the shadow of the towers, or his livelihood threatened by reduced yield and increased costs, or his family legacy on the chopping block.  He seems much too stuck on arrogant greenwashed political ideals without any empathy for his fellow human beings affected by them.  In that way, perhaps he so closely identifies with his subject that he's lost any objectivity.

So... let's take a look.
The author of The Boom, “the best all-around book yet on fracking” (San Francisco Chronicle), turns his attention to renewable energy pioneer Michael Skelly, whose innovations, struggle, and persistence represent the groundbreaking changes underway in American energy.

Enter Michael Skelly, an infrastructure builder who began working on wind energy in 2000, when many considered the industry a joke. Eight years later, Skelly helped build the second largest wind power company in the United States—which was sold for $2 billion. Wind energy was no longer funny; it was well on its way to powering more than six percent of the electricity in the United States.

In Superpower, award-winning journalist Russell Gold tells Skelly’s story, which parallels our nation’s evolving relationship with renewable energy.
Well, ya know, Russell, there's a thin line between persistence and insanity.  There's a reason no experienced utility attempted what Skelly did, in fact, there's 200,000,000 of them.  And I ask you, where's the "innovation?"  One of Clean Line's biggest failures was its inability to adapt.  It refused to adapt to be something landowners could live with, or even support.  It refused to adapt to changing technology.  Clean Line's idea is 10 years old and it hasn't been refreshed at all.  If you want to see what innovation looks like, here ya go.  It even comes with a much more likely hero for your story, someone not quite so full of himself, someone people could talk to, someone people could like.  All the struggles of Michael Skelly were self-created, but really how much can the average person care about the "struggles" of arrogant rich people whose fantasy lives are splashed across the society pages of a wholly pretentious town?  Not much.  I doubt Russell is that talented as a writer.

Michael Skelly?  Infrastructure builder?  Clean Line has built nothing and most of the people I know only consider him skilled at spending other people's money.

Wind power is well on its way to powering 6% of the electricity in the United States?  You did say 6, right?  How would you like your lights to work 6% of the time, Russell?  I like mine to work 100% of the time, so I still consider wind power to be a funny joke.  The only thing it's really accomplishing is making a small group of people very, very rich at taxpayer expense.  Oh, and I guess it helps greenwashed city dwellers sleep better at night pretending the electricity they waste keeping their metropolis lit all pretty through the night is coming from some far away land where everybody loves shadow flicker.

If Skelly's story parallels our nation's evolving relationship with renewable energy, then what can we conclude except that we're all doomed?  Doomed to waste millions on ideas that don't work!

And then let's examine this:
Along the way, we meet Skelly’s financial backers, a family that pivoted from oil exploration to renewable energy; the farmers ready to embrace the new “cash crop”; the landowners prepared to go to court to avoid looking at spinning turbines; and utility executives who concoct fiendish ways to block renewable energy.
Skelly's financial backers are a family?  Why they sound so benign, so homey, so Mayberry.  Are we talking about the Ziff family?  The Zilkha family?  The National Grid investor owned utility "family?"  Or maybe it's C. John Wilder's family?  I missed them while the drama was actually playing out.  Who are these people?  They're families who had $200M to risk on an idea that never panned out.  None of us know any "families" like this.  These are the one percenters that own 99% of our country's wealth.  Farmers embracing a new "cash crop?"  Wind energy is the disease that is tearing Mayberry apart, pitting neighbor against neighbor, with greed as its foundation.  It's not farming, it's business.  Don't confuse the two.  But who are the landowners prepared to go to court to avoid looking at spinning turbines?  I know plenty of big wind opponents, but none of them are motivated by simple visuals of spinning turbines.  These characters need more dimension, because they're not real.  Utility executive fiends?  Fiends?  These guys are just doing their jobs, quite like the big wind executive fiends.  Their job is to make money.  Lots of it.  If you think utility boardrooms look like this
perhaps we need to expand your vocabulary and your world view?  Now that's a fiend!  Dr. Evil has personal reasons for his fiendish behavior, he wants to take over the world.  Utility executives, not so much.  Just because utilities did not choose to become Clean Line customers doesn't make them fiends.  It makes them executives who consider costs and risks, which pretty much defines what Clean Line was offering.  It's not about renewables at all, except that makes a convenient excuse for Skelly's failure.

Where are the landowners who successfully blocked Skelly's ideas?  They're not in this book.  It's almost as if they don't matter.  But they do matter, they matter very much.  They are the biggest reason Skelly's idea "for a new power grid that would allow sunlight in Arizona to light up homes in cloudy New Hampshire, and even take wind from the Great Plains to keep air conditioners running in Atlanta" failed. Obviously the author of that blurb has no earthly idea how the "power grid" works.  Electrons are all the same color.  There are no special  "sunshine colored" ones that can set out on a trek to New Hampshire.  That's pure greenwashed fantasy.  Michael Skelly's idea was that fiendish utility executives would pay him big bucks to say they were providing their customers with renewable energy to scratch their climate change footprint itch, and that landowners along the route would be happy to sacrifice their homes and businesses in the name of renewable energy.  None of that happened.

Michael Skelly's story is anything but thrilling, provocative, and important.  It's costly, boring and exasperating.  Much like this book.

Villain: 
 a character whose evil actions or motives are important to the plot; the person or thing responsible for specified trouble, harm, or damage.

Literature exists in the mind of the reader.
1 Comment

Grain Belt Express Is No More A Public Utility Than Rock Island Clean Line was

1/10/2019

0 Comments

 
Yesterday was briefing day at the Missouri Public Service Commission.  Some briefs were uninspired dreck that more closely resembled a junior high school book report (copy, paste, copy, paste, don't waste a whole lot of thought or effort).  But there was one of them that just blew me away.  I love a good brief, I'm sorta geeky that way, and I've read a lot of them over the years.  They come in all sorts of shapes and sizes, but it's rare that you find one so well-written, thoroughly researched, and cited.  When you find one, it's a beautiful thing!

Yesterday's beautiful thing came from the Missouri Landowners Alliance, and made several very important points.

1.  Grain Belt Express is not a public utility.

2.  Invenergy has not yet purchased GBE therefore it is the qualifications of Clean Line that must be judged here.

3.  Invenergy is unlikely to build GBE as currently described in Clean Line's application.

Any of these three by themselves should be enough to stop approval by Missouri, but combined there's absolutely no question.  Sure, the PSC can simply disagree with the sound logic and deep legal precedent in the brief, but it would do so at its own peril as any approval is almost certain to be overturned by a court.

You can read a copy of Missouri Landowners Alliance's brief here.
To start the "not a public utility" ball rolling, consider this:
First, the Grain Belt line will not be selling its services to retail customers in Missouri. Second, Grain Belt has been authorized by the FERC to sell 100% of its capacity at wholesale to buyers (such as wind farms or load-serving utilities) at rates which are to be negotiated between the buyer and seller. Third, as an expected outcome of establishing rates through bilateral negotiation, Grain Belt’s customers will be paying different rates for capacity on the line – even for service from the same beginning and end points. Based on these facts, case law in Missouri tells us that the Grain Belt project is not an “electrical utility” in the sense that term is used in the CCN statute, Section 393.170.
And then the precedents start rolling...
In perhaps the key finding by the Court [in Danciger], it ruled that although the statutory definition of an “electrical corporation” includes no specific reference to public use, or to the necessity that the sale of the electricity be to the public, “it is apparent that the words ‘for public use’ are to be understood and to be read therein.”The question, then, was what constitutes the supply of electricity for “public use”, thereby qualifying the entity as an “electrical corporation.” In answering that question, the Court began with an obvious but critical point: a company either is or is not a public utility. If it is, then it is subject to the entire purview and regulation of the Commission, including the authority of the Commission to compel the company to provide service to all residences and businesses in the area where it provided service.

...

...if Grain Belt is indeed an “electrical corporation”, its negotiation of different
rates for similarly situated customers would certainly be in violation of this statute, and no doubt others as well.

Grain Belt Express wants to pick and choose its customers based on how much they will pay for service.  This is NOT a public utility!  A public utility must serve all customers equally.  Reminds me of this handout from Com Ed's attorney at the Illinois Appeals Court hearing on whether or not Rock Island was a public utility.
Picture
And speaking of that case....
Perhaps the closest judicial decision on point is from Illinois, in a case which involved the question of whether the Rock Island Clean Line (a sister line of Grain Belt) was or was not a “public utility” under Illinois law. (Illinois Landowners Alliance v. Illinois Comm. Comm’n, 60 N.E.3d 150 2016). In finding that the proposed line was not a “public utility”, the Court held that “A private company that provides public utility services according to its own terms and conditions does not meet the statutory definition of a public utility.”Furthermore, the court found that in order to qualify as a public utility, the entity must offer its assets for public use without discrimination. The Rock Island line “is not for public use without discrimination.”

Finally, in reaching its decision, the Court relied in part on an earlier case which had found that the Mississippi River Fuel company did not qualify as a public utility. That company sold natural gas through individual contracts with 23 private industrial retail customers, as well as to 2 public utilities which resold the gas to its retail customers. In relying on the Mississippi River Fuel case, the Court noted the following: the company’s contracts were not based on fixed rates, and instead varied as to terms and conditions; and that the company’s act of selling gas to a limited group of customers could not be characterized as “public use.”

Grain Belt Express can never be a public utility in Illinois.  There's no reason it should ever be declared one in Missouri either, unless Missouri wants to become known as the state that allows private interests to take land from its citizens via eminent domain?  I highly doubt the court would ever let that happen, much less the Governor or the legislature.

It is clear that because GBE is not a public utility that the Missouri PSC has no jurisdiction to grant it a permit for the transmission project.  But then GBE can build at will, we must stop it, you may be thinking.  Sure, sure, go ahead and build your project Clean Line and/or Invenergy.... but without public utility status you'll be trying to build it without eminent domain bulldozing landowners who choose not to participate.  GBE has long since trashed any goodwill it could have in the state, and it's not something Invenergy can rebuild, no matter how highly (and insanely) it thinks about its relationship with landowners.  Fact of the matter is GBE cannot be built without eminent domain, and this fact does not dispose of the fact that GBE is not a public utility.  Clean Line's entire business plan fails once it gets to a court.

On the matter of who should be judged here:
However, it is another matter altogether to decide this issue on the basis of the qualifications of Invenergy. That company is not the Applicant here. Nor does it have any ownership interest in the Grain Belt project at this point. And as discussed later under criterion (4), it would be speculative to assume that Invenergy will ever own the Grain Belt project – at least in the form it has been described to the Commission over the past 5 years or so.
What the PSC has been doing here is absolutely idiotic.  It has been judging a non-applicant who only has what is essentially an option to purchase GBE.  Legally, this is all wet.  The PSC needed to noodle this through a little more instead of declaring "same case, different owner" and going on like nothing had changed except those points that bolster GBE's case.  The PSC must also approve the transfer of ownership (if GBE is a public utility).  Why would the PSC do it backwards by first issuing a permit to a company who does not yet own the project, and then deciding later whether that company may, in fact, own the project?  The decision that must be made in this case can only look at the applicant, Clean Line Energy Partners.  If Clean Line fails, Invenergy may certainly re-apply in its own name after purchasing the project.  This is a much cleaner way to go about this case.

Now let's talk about what Invenergy may do with a transmission project with eminent domain authority across two states, instead of re-applying in Illinois, moving legal boulders with its bare hands, and spending "$50-100M" to continue developing GBE.  MLA notes "This figure should not be confused with the $2 million estimate for development costs up to the point when Invenergy/Grain Belt secure Kansas and Missouri approvals."

So, Invenergy can spend up to $100M trying to get permitted in Illinois, with little chance of success.  Or, it can spend $2M to get eminent domain authority across the states of Kansas and Missouri and find another way to connect to MISO, since it has no queue position right now anyhow.

Only two conditions must be met before Invenergy is obligated to purchase the Grain Belt project: approvals of the Kansas Commission and this Commission. Closing is not dependent upon approval by the Commission in Illinois. So Invenergy could well end up owning the Grain Belt project, yet never receive permission to build the section of the line providing access to the PJM market. What happens then? According to Mr. Zadlo, Invenergy would need to come back to this Commission with a new plan, which most likely would mean the line would terminate somewhere in Missouri. And of course without the ability to reach the PJM market, Grain Belt has provided no evidence to prove that the line is economically feasible.
So what I can infer here is that IF GBE gets eminent domain authority across two states, it may change the project entirely, perhaps into one that doesn't need state approvals at all.  But of course Invenergy has stated that it needs to undertake eminent domain before it comes back with its new plan.  So what happens to property it has taken if Invenergy at some later date forfeits its permit and utility status in Kansas and Missouri?  How do the landowners get their land back?

And on that note, let's find something not quite so sad.  In fact... perhaps you will get a chuckle out of it like I did.  During cross examination, Invenergy's Kris Zadlo suggested that GBE could "go north or go south" to get around Illinois on its way to PJM, on the off chance that it was denied a permit in Illinois.  That's ridiculous!  How ridiculous?
In order to go north of Illinois, the line would presumably be rerouted north in Missouri, then pass through Iowa, Wisconsin and even Lake Michigan, necessitating numerous additional consents and routing studies along the way.

Going south of Illinois presumably would mean rerouting the line south within the state of Missouri to a point somewhere near Cairo, Illinois, then going north through Kentucky and Indiana, until finally reaching a point near the converter station in Clark County, Illinois
– a total distance of roughly 450 miles. And without a certificate from Illinois, presumably the converter station would need to be redesigned, and moved out of that state. And that in turn would seemingly require starting anew with the process of gaining permission for the interconnection with PJM.

Right, Mr. Zadlo.  You're going to build an ovehead merchant transmission line through Lake Michigan.  *snicker*  If you really think this is an option, perhaps you should start looking at the amazing new technology available for buried HVDC.  You'd soon quickly realize that what Clean Line intends to do is 10-years out of date.  It would be like buying a 2009 model and pretending it was a "new" car.

So what does Invenergy plan to do?  It's not telling the PSC the entire truth.  Invenergy is much too sophisticated to be spending up to $100M without a plan.
Given that fact, it seems fair to assume that Invenergy must have a more realistic “Plan B” in mind in the event it cannot obtain consent to build the line in Illinois. For example, it must have crossed their minds that if Invenergy cancels its contract with MJMEUC, it could try to sell that 200 MW at a rate which might exceed any damages it could owe to MJMEUC. Another possibility would be for Invenergy to develop its own wind farms in Kansas, and use the Grain Belt line to move its energy into the MISO market. There are certainly inviting possibilities for combining the generation and transmission functions on the Grain Belt line for Invenergy’s own benefit.
While the MLA does not claim that either scenario is being considered by Invenergy, it has unveiled no logical plan of its own if it is denied entry into Illinois. And Invenergy appears much too sophisticated an organization not to have already developed a realistic plan to deal with that possibility. If it has, we have been given no clue as to what to expect.
Why would Invenergy want to sell service to bit player MJMEUC, when it can use service on its own generation tie line to cheaply plow through SPP (and on past its seam with MISO for even more opportunity!) and bid on some of these opportunities?

AEP Bounces Back from Wind Catcher Cancellation With 1.2GB RFP

and

PSO Not Giving Up On Building More Wind Farms In Oklahoma

So... GBE is not and can never be a public utility, however I don't think Invenergy cares because perhaps it has another scheme cooking.

Missouri Landowners Alliance is on top of its game!

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Knock, Knock, Kansas!  The Trojan Horse Is At Your Gate

1/6/2019

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What's the difference between Clean Line Energy Partners and Invenergy?  CLEP's business was only transmission.  Invenergy's says it "...owns and operates large-scale renewable and other clean energy generation."  Invenergy is primarily a generation company, although it owns a small number of generation tie lines that connect its generation to open access transmission lines for public use.

Clean Line
wanted to build merchant transmission for sale under FERC's negotiated rate authority, and its plan to negotiate rates without any undue preference for its own generation affiliates was approved.  Clean Line does not own any generation, making this factor a non-issue in its FERC application.  But now Invenergy seeks to purchase the Grain Belt Express project.  This changes the circumstances of GBE's FERC negotiated rate authority considerably.  But yet... Clean Line and Invenergy claimed during testimony at the Missouri PSC that there's nothing they need to do to transfer GBE's negotiated rate authority to a new upstream owner with generation interests.

I simply don't believe you.  In fact, I wonder if Invenergy doesn't plan to sell transmission capacity at all?  Perhaps Invenergy plans to operate Grain Belt Express as the longest generation tie line in the U.S., where it will enjoy protection from transmission service requests of others under FERC's Interconnection Customer’s Interconnection Facilities (ICIF) rules?

Invenergy has applied to the Kansas Corporation Commission for expedited approval of its proposed transaction to purchase Grain Belt Express.  In actuality, Invenergy simply wants the KCC to approve its assumption of GBE's public utility status and siting permit.  These approvals were issued years ago based on Clean Line's ownership and business plan.  Invenergy says, "Invenergy is highly qualified to become the owner of GBE, and operate the GBE Project."  But is it qualified to be a public utility in Kansas, and is it qualified to wield the power of eminent domain to take private property for its own use? 

That's the real question before the KCC.  If Invenergy is granted public utility status, does that mean that it can condemn and take any property in Kansas for its use, such as to build new wind farms and other generation assets?  Or could the KCC somehow limit Invenergy's eminent domain authority to its transmission subsidiary, in which case Invenergy would have authority to condemn and take property for any new transmission line it intended to build, including generation tie lines that aren't for public use?  The Kansas Corporation Commission needs to think long and hard here about welcoming the trojan horse Invenergy has towed up to its gate.  I really hope they're capable of independent thought in the best interest of Kansas and don't become distracted by secret meetings and brimming bowls of vanilla panna cotta.

How about this for some distraction:

Expedited approval of the Transaction is warranted here because the Transaction does not involve the merger of two public utilities that are rate-regulated by the Commission; rather, it involves a transaction at the holding company level of GBE, a public utility that is not rate-regulated by the Commission, that will improve the capability of GBE to complete the Project. Therefore, many of the traditional state and local concerns with regard to public utility mergers are not implicated by the Transaction.
Concentrate, concentrate, KCC, on the merger of public utilities issue (it looks like a horse) and fail to notice the words "public utility" that are mentioned no less than three times in one short paragraph (and may indicate an army hiding somewhere).

What makes a "public utility" in Kansas?  According to KSA 66-101a, "Electric public utility" means any public utility, as defined in K.S.A. 66-104, and amendments thereto, which generates or sells electricity."  Hmm... GBE doesn't plan to generate or sell electricity.  KSA 66-104 vaguely mentions the furnishing of light, heat, or power... but GBE will do none of these things in Kansas.  And KSA 66-104(g) says
For purposes of the authority to appropriate property through eminent domain, the term "public utility" shall not include any activity for the siting or placement of wind powered electrical generators or turbines, including the towers.
It sure looks like Kansas statute prevents the use of eminent domain for activity related to wind powered electrical generators or turbines, including the towers.  Towers?  Like transmission towers?  Like generation tie lines?  Like transmission lines for export that don't intend to furnish light, heat or power to Kansans?  Do you mean that, Kansas?  It's not clear at all that Clean Line, much less Invenergy, is a legal public utility in Kansas.  In fact, it appears that the determination that GBE is a public utility in Kansas was made in a settlement, therefore there was no actual legal finding by the KCC that GBE is a public utility.  Parties to a settlement could agree that the sky is purple, if it suited them.  Settlements don't set precedent.

Therefore, the circular logic of Invenergy's Kris Zadlo does not make Invenergy a public utility if it buys Grain Belt Express.
The proposed Transaction will benefit consumers by improving the ability of GBE to complete the Project. In granting GBE a certificate to operate as a public utility, the Commission found that completion of the Project would be in the public interest.
So, will the real public utilities in Kansas intervene in this docket and shed some light on the Trojan Horse at the gate?  It seems some of them objected last time around, with ITC Great Plains getting its panties in a wad over the use of eminent domain for the unidentified "AC Collector System" proposed as part of GBE.  How many Kansas utilities are going to in a bind if a wind generation company begins wielding eminent domain authority in the state?  Or building transmission that the public utilities are not allowed to use?

Or perhaps a sneak attack is going to come from one of Invenergy's competitors, such as, oh I dunno... maybe NextEra?  Or maybe it will be Tradewind Energy?  Or Enel North America?  EDP?  Why should Invenergy get to use eminent domain to acquire property in Kansas when their own companies are prohibited from doing so under KSA 66-104(g)?

The mystery will continue until "at least three days before the hearing", which is the deadline to intervene under KSA 82-1-225.

Meanwhile, perhaps KCC staff will enjoy watching this video.
0 Comments

Clean Line Tries to Sell Grain Belt Express

11/13/2018

5 Comments

 
Well, surprise, surprise, surprise!
Clean Line is trying to put together a deal to sell its failed Grain Belt Express project.  No surprise, really, the writing has been on the wall for at least a year now.  What is surprising is that some dunderheads signed an intent to buy it.  Musta been cheap.  I mean really cheap.  Fire sale cheap.

Despite Michael Skelly's blathering about how he was going to build the project (while his company fell apart completely) and how the lack of Clean Line employees was mere "personnel changes," it looks like this deal was a last minute thing.  Invenergy must have driven a hard bargain on price because without that last minute deal, Skelly was facing having to admit failure of the project in Missouri yesterday.  Yesterday was the deadline for Clean Line to file supplemental testimony detailing any changes to its situation at the Missouri PSC.  You can read Clean Line's and Invenergy's testimony here.  (Look up Case #EA-2016-0358).

Oh, and what a change!  Clean Line says it has entered into an agreement to sell the project to Invenergy.  Of course, this deal isn't final and is contingent upon both Missouri and Kansas approving the sale of the project in separate, newly filed proceedings.  Everything changes!

The owner of the project changes.  All the deals and contracts Clean Line has entered into on behalf of GBE will end and Invenergy will sign new contracts.  Might as well file a whole new application in both states, Invenergy, because this change changes everything.  Why in the world would both states approve GBE (or a permit extension) with a new owner based on the promises of people who don't even work for Clean Line anymore, much less Invenergy?  The whole premise is absurd!

So, welcome to the fray, Invenergy.  It's really not true that communities love you.  In fact, it seems some of them hate you.  Really hate you.  At least owning GBE and being hated by landowners in 3 states won't be anything new, will it?  But why?  Why would Invenergy want to purchase a failed merchant transmission project?  It's not like they can repurpose it as their own personal 700-mile generation tie line.  Perhaps Invenergy is just trying to keep up with its competitor, NextEra, who bought a different failed "clean" line in an attempt to bugger Invenergy's Wind Catcher deal with AEP.  Is this nothing more than some slapping and hair pulling between competitors?
NextEra:  Hah!  We own Plains & Eastern Clean Line!

Invenergy:  Oh ya?  Well, hold my beer!  We now own Grain Belt Express!

Honestly, what a waste of time and money.  Neither one of these projects are ever going to happen.  The reasons are myriad, such as...

Oh wait... why would I help you chuckleheads out?  There's a regulatory process in the works.  Surprise!  Surprise!  Surprise!

See ya in the funny pages, Invenergy!
5 Comments

"Some" Landowners Interfering With Investors' "Overhead Cash Registers"

11/10/2018

1 Comment

 
The arrogant renewable energy folks had a "forum" this week.  On the day of the "forum" a renewable energy news outlet ran a series of three obnoxious articles telling people that the electric transmission grid is outdated and overly congested.  The solution?  Lots more new transmission "for renewables."  (read wind).

This is never going to happen.  The reasons why are clear, if slightly beyond the thought capacity of an industry that continues to lie to itself.  Merchant transmission  has been a gigantic failure.  The articles gush on about troubled projects that have racked up one failure after another, while also noting the complete failure ("the wheels came off") of many others.  News flash:  They're all going to fail eventually!  Not one "renewable" merchant transmission project has been built.  They can't be built.

Reasons why include:

1.  No customers to pay for them!  Even when Clean Line thought it had the green light for its Plains & Eastern project, it failed to attract any customers to pay for it, and Clean Line bailed at the first opportunity to unload this cash cow onto a utility wannabe who thought it could use part of the project as leverage to profit off a real utility's plan to construct a wind farm and the world's longest generation tie line.

2.  RTO's are not designed to facilitate exports.  RTO's are purposed to serve their region and therefore costs of serving the region are visited upon the consumers in that region.  Exporting electricity to other regions does not serve anyone in the region.  Asking different regions to build new transmission to patch regions together to serve the renewable energy industry doesn't benefit anyone in any of the regions either.  One article even claims that new "renewable" transmission lines "represent potential overhead cash registers for their owners."  So, this is all about an industry cashing in for their own benefit?  But yet...

3.  "Some" landowners oppose transmission.  Why the modifier "some?"  What is that supposed to represent anyhow?  That only a handful of landowners object to superrich investors and foreign corporations erecting an "overhead cash register" on their land using the power of eminent domain to take private property?  Sorry, but you're wrong about "some," if that's supposed to mean a small number.  Eminent domain for private gain is widely opposed by both affected and unaffected landowners.  Only "some" landowners are in favor of it, those who don't live on the land and are looking for a quick payday, or perhaps those who obliviously believe they're going to be richly compensated for the use of their land (or quid pro quo payments for being a public advocate for the transmission project).

Or perhaps "some" is an attempt at denying the power of landowners to derail transmission proposals?  Even though landowners were the biggest impediment to Clean Line's projects, Clean Line still wants to claim its projects failed due to the efforts of "a major utility, and prominent state politicians" and "some landowners."  As if the landowners were not the impetus for the political opposition, and as if a major utility opposed more than one of Clean Line's projects?  It was the landowners, Sherlock!  They are powerful, and they are the primary reason transmission projects are cancelled.  Wasn't it Sun Tzu who said "know your enemy"?  Denying the power of your most stalwart enemy is a fool's paradise.

Here's the basic truth:  Eminent domain for the purpose of erecting an "overhead cash register" on private property is frowned upon.  Sure, there was that awful Supreme Court decision that eminent domain could be used for "economic development" purposes, but that came with overwhelming backlash.  Eminent domain's historical use by utilities to serve all customers cannot be extended to erect "overhead cash registers" on private property.  New "renewable" transmission isn't necessary to provide electricity.  The grid we have is managing to keep the light on (for the most part).  One person's desire to obtain a different kind of electricity does not override another person's right to own and enjoy property.  If a company desires to erect an "overhead cash register" on private property, it's going to need landowner buy in.

How to get there?  It's not any of the ways renewable energy companies and environmentalists have proposed.  Landowner aggregation schemes, increased easement payments, even royalties, are not adequate for "some" landowners.  "Some" landowners simply do not want to sell an easement for any reason.  The "eking out and incremental solutions" (in the words of Jayshree Desai, former CLEPT-O, now spending some other investors money as ConnectGen) doesn't reside in erecting "overhead cash registers" on private property.  It resides in new ideas for buried transmission on existing rights of way, along railroads or highways.  That's the solution.  That's the way to "...figure out longer-haul, bulk transmission to really change the fundamental supply-demand balance of renewables in this country," Ms. Jayshree.  Jayshree and her band of Don Quixotes wasted more than $200M of investor cash trying to build "overhead cash registers" on private property.  And still one of the Dons persists because he can't pull his head out of the clouds (or another place closer to the ground). 

Overhead merchant transmission is dead!  The renewable energy industry and its environmental sycophants should should stop wasting their money and efforts on "overhead cash registers" and invest it in underground solutions.  The cost of these solution must be borne by the beneficiaries, in this case it's the renewable energy industry, or its customers.  The rest of us aren't going to pay for it.  You want to make money?  You gotta spend money!  The answer is at hand.  Don't make me grab you by the scruff of your neck and rub your nose in it.

1 Comment

Whitewashing Greenwashers' Fence

10/24/2018

2 Comments

 
Well, hey there, Corporate America!  The companies that stand to profit from building more wind, solar and transmission projects want you to whitewash their fence!

Come one, come all, step right up and grab a paintbrush!  Your regional transmission planning organization is ready to take your membership money and waste your time!
Honestly, the renewable energy industry has no shame.  Their greed knows no bounds!  They need to keep building renewable energy projects and new transmission to fill their pockets.  Its a parade of trade groups and self-serving "organizations" who want to find someone, anyone, to champion their goals.  They tell you that you must purchase more renewables from far off places, and that you need to pave the road to get them.  And Corporate America is their latest target.

The recycled Wind Energy Foundation is now the Wind and Solar Alliance, and they want corporations to join regional transmission planning organizations and demand new transmission to fulfill corporate renewable energy goals.  Except this idea is crap.  Regional transmission planning organizations don't care about your corporate renewable energy goals.  Sure, you can spend money joining, and then waste a bunch of time sitting through meeting after meeting, demanding new transmission, but it's a completely wasted effort.  RTOs don't even listen to what states want, why should they listen to Corporate America?

I'm going to use PJM Interconnection as an example, since it's the RTO that manages my service area, and one I'm familiar with.  Here's how PJM treats requests to build new transmission for renewable energy goals:  the requester, or sponsor, must agree to pay for the entire cost of a transmission project it desires to have built to meet its renewable energy goals.  In this instance, the requester may be a state with a renewable energy mandate or goal.  One state may not visit its laws upon the citizens of another state that may have different goals.  Just because, say, Maryland, has a legislative goal to procure more renewable energy does not mean that citizens of West Virginia, with considerably different (non-existent) renewable energy goals must pay a portion of the cost of a new transmission line to meet Maryland's law. 

A corporate renewable energy policy may not visit the costs of meeting its goal upon electric ratepayers in any state.  The ratepayers had no part in creating the corporate goal, and they shouldn't have to pay for it.

Why do corporations set renewable energy goals?  It's nothing more than public relations fluff.  "Buy our products because they are created with renewable energy!"  It's a marketing ploy.  Will consumers choose to buy a more expensive product because it supports the renewable energy business?  Maybe, depending on the upcharge.  A few pennies here and there may be something consumers are willing to give to the effort.  A sizable price increase that comes from renewable energy purchases and new transmission lines supposedly needed to get the energy to end user is not something consumers will support.  PR fluff is great when it's cheap, when someone else is paying the cost of creating it, but when it affects the corporate bottom line, even corporations cannot support it.  Every dollar a corporation spends on marketing (and energy) must find its way into the cost of the product.  Spending several billion dollars on a transmission line (even one cost shared by several corporations) will raise prices way past consumer tolerance.  Joining RTOs and demanding new transmission lines is a dead end.

RTOs may consider need when planning transmission.  But they're going to be looking at stuff like load, economics, and perhaps state laws.  When a new transmission project is approved and ordered by an RTO, the costs of the project are allocated to the consumers served.  Corporate energy goals serve corporations.  The corporation receives the benefit of meeting its goal through public relations and increased sales.  This cost simply cannot be allocated to all ratepayers in a region, who will not benefit from corporate goal fulfillment.  Trying to create a scenario where consumers benefit from corporate public relations schemes is an exercise in futility.  RTOs aren't going to fall for it, and neither is the agency that regulates them.

Even though the Wind & Solar Alliance has packaged up their fence painting scheme all pretty and created some bogus "report"* that says absolutely nothing, it appears that some big corporations aren't falling for it.
As global manager of renewable power for General Motors, Rob Threlkeld speaks often with both RTO and utility managers about transmission. When he depended primarily on power-purchase agreements with wind producers, “That would require a significant amount of transmission to be built.”
While he expects transmission to continue to be a challenge in meeting his company’s renewable energy goals, he is more focused now on green tariffs and sees a new resource on the horizon: the transmission capacity left in the wake of closing coal plants.
“As we shift the generation fleet,” he said, the question is, “How do you repurpose existing transmission?” Wind farms used to rely on all new transmission lines to bring the power to where it was needed, he said. But he sees that changing as coal plants close and reduce the load on parts of the transmission system.
“Don’t build new all the way; build new half the way,” he said. “Those are the types of discussions we have.”
I guess he must be thinking about his bottom line, perhaps GM only wants to pay for half a new transmission line to meet its goals?  Or maybe he realizes there is no free lunch here.  RTOs are never, and I do mean NEVER, going to plan for corporate energy goals and pass the costs off onto other electric consumers.  Trying to "re-purpose" lines that have been paid for by electric consumers, in order to now serve corporations, is just another way to shift the cost of meeting corporate goals off onto others.  Obviously Rob doesn't want to PAY to make GM greener.

If a corporation wants to polish its public image with greenwashing, it should be prepared to pay for it.  Power purchase agreements are paid for by the corporation.  If a corporation has to pretend that its actually using the energy it is paying for (as opposed to the fantasy REC product), then it may purchase capacity on merchant transmission.  That's a much cheaper option than paying the entire cost of a new transmission line.

However, the merchant transmission that has been proposed takes too long to build (wahhhh!)  That's merely because the merchant transmission that has been proposed in the past is THE WRONG KIND.  It's the overhead across private property kind that faces fierce opposition from landowners and regulators.  That kind of merchant project is never going to be built.  In fact, at least one state has outlawed that kind of transmission, and others have found ways to put a stop to designating these projects as "public utilities" who may wield eminent domain authority.  Maybe the corporates should support a different kind of transmission?  How about new technology that doesn't require eminent domain and therefore doesn't foment opposition?  It's a much better way to spend corporate funds, instead of wasting it supporting dead projects such as Clean Line.  Wake up, Walmart, before the people who shop your stores in their jammies find out their prices are increasing because you choose to waste money joining RTOs and testifying in favor of overhead transmission projects before state regulators.  They'd probably rather you spend your money paying your employees a living wage... so they can buy real clothes for their shopping expeditions.

The Wind & Solar Alliance is simply looking for someone to paint their fence.  They've gotten nowhere lobbying RTOs for new transmission to serve renewable energy goals.  Now they want Corporate America to do it for them.  You're smarter than that, right?
*Let's play a game!  How many typos can you find in the WSA's new "report?"  Doesn't exactly inspire confidence, does it?  I wonder who proofread that... was it this member of WSA's extended team?  No, really, check it out.  There's another little surprise waiting for you there.
2 Comments

Texas Does Not Approve Wind Catcher

7/12/2018

1 Comment

 
Just like Oklahoma didn't approve it last week, either.

I'm not sure the Texas utility commissioners were suitably impressed by the executive "team" from Columbus, who showed up today to let the commissioners know how important this was to the company.  Nick Akins managed to drop the not so subtle hint that he expected approval for his project back in April.  And now here it is July.  Although he did forget to mention how he had promised investment analysts that he would have approval by the end of June at the latest.  But it appears that the magic date is now August 6, when AEP must issue another notice to proceed to its wind farm and transmission contractors.

But I think things are already starting to wind down.  The writing is on the wall.  The signals have been signaled.  The only thing left to happen is one fat lady bursting into song.

It's obvious AEP won't proceed with Wind Catcher on a merchant basis.  If AEP was considering taking on the risk themselves, they wouldn't still be begging at utility commissions.

So, today Texas commissioners sat through an hour or so of oral argument.  You can watch it here, starting around minute 6:44.  If you want to cut to the chase, forward it about another hour to watch Nick Akins beg.

The arguments against the project seemed better than the arguments for.  Supply diversity?  Really?  You think AEP customers should pay extra for that?  Then why don't you sign a few more wind PPAs, rather than buy a wind farm and build a 350-mile gen tie?  It would probably be a lot cheaper.

The Commissioners didn't look very convinced.  After the arguments were over, the chairwoman asked the other commissioners how they wanted to proceed and they all agreed that they need more time to think about things.  They're looking at the Louisiana settlement and trying to figure out which parts would fall under a most favored nations clause and how that would affect the bottom line.

She then said she couldn't approve it as it now stands.  It needs more protections for consumers.  She urged the parties to come up with more consumer guarantees that might help her feel more comfortable.  Sounds like the ball's in AEP's court on that one.  Only AEP can provide more customer guarantees... ones that actually mitigate customer risk this time would be nice.  Except... oh wait a tick... any real guarantee would require financial risk on the part of the company.  Like if SWEPCO's guarantees of benefit don't pan out, will it still pay the same benefits out of the company's profits?  But that's no good either, since a REAL guarantee would put SWEPCO at financial risk and affect the health of the company.  A utility that isn't turning a profit, that isn't financially healthy, is bad for its customers.

Damned if you do, AEP.
Damned if you don't.

It's over.  Time to send Wind Catcher to the great dump heap of failed ideas and try to find some creative accounting way to recover all the money you've wasted on this endeavor.

The Commission agreed to re-visit the case at their next open meeting on July 26.  The chairwoman was certain all the AEP guys couldn't wait to come back then.

Don't count on it.  I think they're going to be announcing to the investment community that the project is being canned right about then.

Dilemma... which meeting will be more fun to listen to first?
1 Comment

Samsung Wants to Destroy Rural America

6/25/2018

2 Comments

 
Oh whoopie-de-doo!  Samsung promises all its factories will be powered by 100% renewable energy.  So, get ready for more of this:
Picture
More pristine rural vistas clogged up with industrial power plants and blinking red lights as far as the eye can see.

Samsung acts like this is a good thing.  Like this is something that will make people buy its phones.  Not this girl!

Samsung folded after a year of being harassed by Greenpeace. 
Activists have pointed out that Samsung lags behind rivals when it comes to going green. Apple and Google have both purchased enough renewable energy, such as wind or solar energy, to offset their global energy consumption since April. (It’s likely that Samsung will also purchase renewable energy to offset its consumption, rather than be directly powered by renewables.)
Greenpeace?  That's still a thing?  I hardly ever see Greenpeace making news anymore.  Is this really what mainstream America wants?  To have their buying choices directed by fringe environmental bullies?

I notice that it's acknowledged that Samsung will not actually be using renewable energy.  Instead it will make some shakedown payments to renewable energy companies to increase renewable energy profits.  Renewable Energy Credits, or RECs, are an imaginary way to "buy" renewable energy and pretend a company is environmentally conscious, while continuing to use "dirty" fossil fueled power to run its factories.  Whoever invented a way to create an additional revenue stream for energy generators out of thin air is a financial genius.  Simply buying RECs excuses a company from actually running its factories on renewable energy while allowing them to say they do.  The whole scheme smacks of environmental extortion to me.

Is the environment made cleaner this way?  Well, no.  The factories continue to use their current power source, and the renewable energy generator who sells the REC gains another revenue stream.  The renewable energy generator is going to generate anyway... and any actual electrons generated are purchased by someone who actually uses the electricity.  But renewable energy is so CHEAP, they say, it's competitive with other sources of energy.  That's because the renewable energy generator has two income streams... that from actual energy generated and that from imaginary feel-good credits that it sells to clueless companies like Samsung.  Without companies like Samsung subsidizing renewable energy generators with shakedown payments, renewable energy wouldn't be so cheap.

Rural America is being gobbled up at a rapid pace and the land that once provided food is now providing this:
Picture
Who needs food?  You can just look at pictures of food on your cheap Samsung smart phone.  After all, why would a farmer continue to break his back farming when he can sit on the porch and watch the red lights blink at night and still draw an income?

Don't give me any of that propaganda about how wind turbines and farming can happen on the same property.  Every wind turbine takes acreage out of production.  And they drive the people who have to live near them crazy. 

Rural folks are gathering in increasing numbers to stop the wind invasion in their communities.  I don't think they care about Greenpeace, or Samsung, or RECs.  They just don't want to live in the middle of an electric generation plant. 

So next time you're shopping for a cell phone, remember your last meal and where it came from.  No, I mean really came from.  Food is not manufactured out of thin air like RECs.  Nobody cares more about the environment than a working farmer.  Not even Samsung.
2 Comments

U.S. DOE Wastes Your Money on Another Stupid Idea

6/8/2018

0 Comments

 
Analysts report that consumers served by utilities on the nation's East and West coasts pay higher costs for their electricity than we do here.
News flash!  That's because "here" (the Midwest) doesn't have a network of expensive, gigantic transmission lines to pay for.

Think about it.

DOE obviously hasn't.

DOE is stuck in 2009, when the idea to lower coastal power prices by building a "national grid" was novel.  Now that idea can only be called FAILED.

So, the DOE has a big new idea for "the installation of a network of high-voltage, direct-current transmission lines could boost the availability of reliable, affordable power generated by renewable sources at load centers on the East and West coasts."

Hey, Einstein, building your ginormous dream grid costs money.  Lots and lots and lots of money.  We're talking billions.  And your plan expects that electric customers nationwide will finance that investment over decades to come and pay its private investors/owners double-digit interest throughout its lifetime.  No thanks, we simply can't afford it.

Don't you think that adding additional costs to move energy thousands of miles will only increase energy prices, both on the coasts and the Midwest?  Building new transmission to reduce costs on one part of the system only produces a leveling of costs across the region.  If prices go down on the coast, they will increase in the Midwest.

And maybe, just maybe, the people who live in the Midwest don't want to live in an ugly, noisy, industrial power plant that only benefits the politically powerful players on the coasts.  And maybe they don't want to live in and work under a network of new high voltage transmission lines.  And they will resist, no maybe about it.  They will shout and block and delay your dream grid for years and years, and that costs even more money.

Don't do it, DOE.  Quit wasting my tax money on stupid things like TransGrid-X 2030.  You already tried this idea once, remember?  You called it Section 1222 of the Energy Policy Act, and you decided to "partner" on an HVDC transmission line from the Oklahoma panhandle to Memphis.  And it failed.  It failed spectacularly.  It couldn't find any customers to purchase capacity.  No income, no project.  So what makes you think, DOE, that a new network of HVDC transmission lines from the Midwest to the coasts would be able to find customers?  You've already done this experiment once and it failed.

I do note that your "symposium" has participation from companies that would benefit financially from building billions of dollars of new transmission.  So you're just acting as a facilitator for private investment here?

Swamp, swampy, swamperson.  Get out of the muck!  Don't you have enough trouble already with your swampy plan to save coal?

The real cutting edge on transmission is to stop building it and develop a secure system of interconnected local microgrids that can be autonomous self-contained systems that continue working seamlessly whether connected to a larger network or not.

Or maybe you can hold a seance and ask Nikola Tesla what he thinks?  That's probably a more productive use of my tax money.

0 Comments

AEP Wind Catcher Support Letters to Oklahoma Corporation Commission Signed by AEP Employees

5/29/2018

3 Comments

 
What's a company to do when it wants to create a feeling of overwhelming support for regulatory approval of one of its projects, but it lacks overwhelming support?

Create it with home-grown resources!

Shame on you, AEP!  Your scam wasn't even that hard to figure out.  Which ever one of your "geniuses" came up with passing the tablet in the workplace ought to be fired.

At the very least, the Oklahoma Corporation Commission should be forced to collect and toss any letters of support for the Wind Catcher project that came from AEP/PSO employees and failed to disclose that the author worked for AEP and had a conflict of interest.  That should lighten the docket immensely. 

A little birdie told me that the OCC Commissioners were looking at huge piles of support letters for the Wind Catcher project on their desks.  Perhaps Commissioners were feeling a bit obligated to approve the project's rate scheme because of such overwhelming support.  So, I looked at the OCC docket for the case.  And I found one of the links to collections of public comment on the project.

Funny that... most of the letters were strikingly similar, in fact so similar that they are obviously form letters.  All contain the following  closing paragraph:
For the aforementioned reasons, I sincerely support and endorse Wind Catcher Energy Connection and the benefits that it will bring to Oklahoma. Oklahoma cannot afford to miss out on this opportunity to invest in our state and the citizens of Oklahoma. I would like to thank the Oklahoma Corporation Commission for their thoughtful consideration on this matter.
And they are all obviously signed on an electronic tablet because each individual signature has that telltale "drunken illiterate" look so common to finger signatures on electronic tablets, where the signature box is well defined and limited.

So, who was collecting signatures in support of the project?  Was it some of the usual suspects like Sierra Club?  Well, yes, of course, but an online letter does not create a distinctive tablet signature, and there's no way Sierra Club could draw that many people to a venue in order to sign their tablet.  Sierra Club is no longer a member run organization and has lost its base because it is too focused on scoring grant money anymore.  Who else is running a "send a support letter to the OCC" campaign for Wind Catcher?  Well, Invenergy is.  That's sort of like cheating though, since Invenergy stands to profit enormously if AEP gets its project approved and buys Invenergy's wind farm.  Shame on you, Invenergy!  But even then, how could tablet signatures get generated online?  And why doesn't Invenergy's form letter of support include the telltale concluding paragraph?

Where were these "supporters" gathered?

I tested my first theory that all "supporters" from a certain date may all live in one city and may have attended a single public event where the tablet was passed.  Since the OCC blocked out the addresses of the "supporters" I had to zero in on unique or unusual names to find out what cities the supporters lived in.

And then I found something really interesting.

Kristine Kurszewski.

She supports Wind Catcher.

She's also an Administrative Assistant at Public Service Company of Oklahoma at Bartlesville.

Wow, what a coincidence, right?  Out of all those dozens of support letters docketed at the OCC I just happened to pick one written by an AEP employee.

Except then there was:

Tiney Holyfield, a Project Control Analyst at American Electric Power in Oklahoma City.

Larry Gattenby, an IT Support Technician for AEP.

Levi Grooms, a Project Manager for AEP in Tulsa.

And lots more, but it was starting to get repetitive. 

It looks like all Wind Catcher's "support" letters were signed by AEP/PSO employees across Oklahoma.  What better place to walk around with a tablet and get employees to give you a finger signature?  I wonder if the employees even knew they were signing a support letter to the OCC?  Or did they think they were signing some routine workplace form?  How voluntary were these signatures, anyhow?  Did employees feel pressured to sign the tablet?  I think AEP has a lot of explaining to do to the OCC...

It also needs to fess up to jamming the docket with fake letters of support from its employees.  Once all those fake form letters are gone, the letters of opposition will rise and shine.  They're in there, but buried among the AEP employee form letters so only a very patient person would be able to locate them.

If the OCC Commissioners have piles of support letters on their desks, they need to weed out any written by AEP employees, whose employment may or may not be tied to their willingness to sign AEP's tablet.  Such "support" cannot be seriously considered as reason for approving such a bad project.

Shame on you, AEP!  SHAME ON YOU!!!
3 Comments
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    About the Author

    Keryn Newman blogs here at StopPATH WV about energy issues, transmission policy, misguided regulation, our greedy energy companies and their corporate spin.
    In 2008, AEP & Allegheny Energy's PATH joint venture used their transmission line routing etch-a-sketch to draw a 765kV line across the street from her house. Oooops! And the rest is history.

    About
    StopPATH Blog

    StopPATH Blog began as a forum for information and opinion about the PATH transmission project.  The PATH project was abandoned in 2012, however, this blog was not.

    StopPATH Blog continues to bring you energy policy news and opinion from a consumer's point of view.  If it's sometimes snarky and oftentimes irreverent, just remember that the truth isn't pretty.  People come here because they want the truth, instead of the usual dreadful lies this industry continues to tell itself.  If you keep reading, I'll keep writing.


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